Multipolarity AI · The Platform

Global risk intelligence, as an inference engine.

Le Lab turns chains of events, markets and exposures into a probabilistic operating surface — what may happen, why, how it reaches your portfolio or organisation, and what to do about it. Foresight, exposure analysis and decision, in one engine.

4 risk domains liveUpdated continuouslyThe Dispatch · weekly
What the engine does

One probabilistic engine, three jobs.

Signals, markets and narratives become scenario beliefs — then those beliefs are mapped to your exposure, and to the decision that follows.

Foresight

Beliefs about what may happen

Signals, markets and narratives feed probabilistic scenario beliefs. Predict, explain, and run what-if analysis — with an accruing public track record behind each scenario question.

Exposure Analysis

How a shock reaches you

See how each scenario lands on the entity that matters — positions, portfolios, organisations, counterparties or liabilities — ranked by impact.

Decision

What to actually do

Turn analysis into valued action: what to monitor, hedge, size, report, mitigate or reprice.

How it works

Signal to decision, in one loop.

01 · Beliefs

Foresight

Signals, markets, narratives and structured variables feed scenario beliefs and their probabilities.

02 · Reach

Exposure

The engine asks how those beliefs affect a specific exposure — your book, your organisation, your counterparties.

03 · Action

Decision

The result becomes a decision: monitor, hedge, size, report, mitigate or reprice.

Worked example

A 2026 US–Iran conflict, priced through to crude.

Watch one scenario travel the full loop — from the signals that move its probability, to the belief graph, to the exposure on a crude position, to the decision edge. The chain from event to portfolio, made explicit rather than assumed.

Signals→ Belief graph→ Crude exposure→ Decision edge
What you get

From a live watchlist to a weekly Dispatch.

  • Foresight — predict, explain, run what-if analysis, read The Dispatch, and inspect the track record behind public scenario questions.
  • Exposure Analysis — scenarios translated into exposure for your positions, portfolio, organisation, counterparties or liabilities.
  • Decision — trade ideas, sizing, monitoring, reporting, hedging, mitigation and repricing.
  • Watchlist & Dispatch — track scenarios and risks from Home, then move into the weekly Dispatch and alerts when the signal changes.
Who it’s for

Built for the people who carry the exposure.

Market teams

Edge against the price

Compare engine probabilities with market pricing, monitor event-driven risk, and size or hedge when an edge appears.

Portfolio & risk

Across the book

Track scenario shifts, assess exposure across a portfolio, and document the assumptions behind allocation and risk decisions.

Corporates & government

Onto the organisation

Map geopolitical and macro-financial risk onto the business or mandate — including the second-order effects most analyses stop short of.

Early access

Request access to the engine.

The platform is opening in stages. Join the waiting list and we’ll be in touch as access opens for your profile.

For information and research purposes only. Scenario probabilities are model-generated analytical estimates, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee. Consult a qualified adviser before making investment decisions.