The Multipolarity Institute  /  Masterclass

Masterclass in Global Risk Intelligence

An intensive, practitioner-led programme that builds the core craft of modern risk intelligence — reading early signals, thinking in scenarios, and communicating a decision-ready view in a multipolar world.

Enrol — individual seat →Corporate & group enrolment
Format
In-person · modular cohort
Duration
2–3 days, or 5 half-days
Level
Foundational → intermediate
Next cohort
Dates on application
Who it’s for

Analysts and professionals building the craft.

Strategy, risk and research staff; junior advisors and consultants; public-sector desk officers; corporate intelligence and government-affairs teams — anyone who needs to turn a noisy stream of economic and geopolitical events into structured, defensible foresight.

What you’ll be able to do
  • Run a disciplined intelligence cycle and tell signal from noise.
  • Read the instruments of economic statecraft and infer intent from behaviour.
  • Detect and cluster weak signals into defensible, trigger-based scenarios.
  • Use an AI-augmented foresight toolchain critically — without being captured by it.
  • Write and deliver a one-page, decision-ready brief in calibrated language.
The curriculum

Five modules, from first signal to decision-ready brief.

Built around the decisions practitioners actually face. Each module pairs method with live case material drawn from real advisory mandates.

01Foundations of risk intelligence+
What risk intelligence is — and is not. The intelligence cycle from direction to dissemination; sources and evidence quality; the analyst’s epistemics: cognitive bias, base rates, calibration and practitioner-level Bayesian updating. The through-line of the programme: signals → knowledge → decisions.
02The multipolar economy & economic statecraft+
Multipolarity as an operating environment, not a slogan. The toolkit of economic statecraft — sanctions and secondary sanctions, export controls, tariffs, investment screening, financial and currency leverage, critical-minerals chokepoints — and how to read state behaviour.
Case clinics: Nexperia · oil-sanction circumvention · US–China tech controls
03Signals, clustering & scenario thinking+
Signal versus noise; weak signals and leading indicators; event taxonomies and issue classification; the intuition behind clustering related events; scenario construction (critical-uncertainties, driver-based, morphological); and designing the trigger and indicator sets that tell you which scenario is actually unfolding.
04Applied tools & the foresight stack+
The modern analyst’s toolchain — structured event data, knowledge graphs, hybrid search and LLM-assisted synthesis — and their failure modes. Includes a hands-on working session inside the Platform: detect and cluster signals on an issue you choose, then assemble a mini-scenario from real, current material.
Platform working session · method lab
05Briefing & decision communication+
The decision-ready product: BLUF structure, estimative language, and the honest communication of confidence and uncertainty; visualising risk without false precision; the one-page written brief and the three-minute oral brief. Capstone: produce and deliver a short intelligence brief on a live issue, with peer and instructor critique.
Inside the programme · the Platform as method lab

You don’t watch a demo. You work the problem.

The same foresight engine that powers our daily intelligence is used here as a teaching instrument, not a showcase. You bring a live issue; the Platform supplies the raw signals, the knowledge graph and the scenario scaffolding; and you practise the craft from Modules 3 to 5 on a problem that matters to you. The session is built to show its working — the chain from signal to graph to scenario — and to name, out loud, what the tool cannot tell you.

  • Anchored to a concept just taught, never a standalone tour
  • Real, current outputs — not canned screens
  • You choose the issue and pose the question
  • The reasoning chain is shown, not just the result
  • Every segment ends with the limits of the tool
  • No sell during the teaching — the work speaks first
What you leave with

A method you can apply on Monday — and proof you can.

01

A working method

The full signal-to-brief workflow, with templates for scenarios, indicators and the one-page decision brief.

02

Assessed practice

Module knowledge-checks, a scenario-building assignment and a graded capstone brief — tracked in your private cohort portal.

03

A certificate

A Multipolarity Institute certificate of completion, plus continued access to your cohort materials and resources.

Faculty

Alexandre Kateb

Economist and strategist, founder of Multipolarity AI. Trained at École Centrale Paris and Sciences Po and a CFA charterholder, he has advised the European Commission, the ILO, and governments across Africa, the Middle East and Europe on macroeconomic strategy and geopolitical risk. The programme is taught from real advisory mandates — not from a textbook.

An elite foundation
  • 01 École Centrale Paris · engineering
  • 02 Sciences Po · political economy
  • 03 CFA charterholder
  • 04 Two decades advising states, investors & corporations
Investment & logistics

Open cohorts and in-house delivery.

Per-seat places on open cohorts, or the full Masterclass delivered in-house for your team. Corporate group rates and early-bird pricing available; participants are enrolled through a private portal with their own login, materials and progress.

Individual

Open cohort · per seat

A place on the next scheduled cohort. Early-bird rates available with code EARLYBIRD-MASTERCLASS.

Enrol an individual seat →
Teams

Corporate group

Multiple seats managed by a corporate account, with one administrator enrolling and tracking participants.

Enrol a group →
In-house

Private delivery

The Masterclass delivered on-site for your organisation, tailored to your sector and exposure.

Enquire about in-house →

Seats per cohort are limited.

Build your team’s risk-intelligence craft.

Secure a seat on the next open cohort, or talk to us about delivering the Masterclass in-house.

Enrol now →Apply or ask about in-house